Galdakao: no list would have a majority, EH BILDU largest
Galdakao (Bizkaia, 29,285 inhabitants) elects 21 councillors on 23 May 2027; 11 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 21councillors, 11 for a majority
- 64%no list with a majority
- 14,654valid votes in 2023 (61% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
EH BILDU+1
10
councillors (2023: 9) · 40.6% of the vote (2023: 36.7%)
Majority 36%
EAJ-PNV−1
5
councillors (2023: 6) · 21.0% of the vote (2023: 24.9%)
Majority 0%
UH±0
2
councillors (2023: 2) · 10.2% of the vote (2023: 9.4%)
Majority 0%
AZK±0
2
councillors (2023: 2) · 8.1% of the vote (2023: 7.6%)
Majority 0%
PSE-EE (PSOE)−1
1
councillors (2023: 2) · 7.7% of the vote (2023: 10.2%)
Majority 0%
VOX+1
1
councillors (2023: 0) · 5.8% of the vote (2023: 1.7%)
Majority 0%
The line marks a majority (11 of 21). No list with a majority in 64% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- EH BILDUEH Bildu 36.7% → 40.6% 9 → 10 councillors
- EAJ-PNVPNV 24.9% → 21.0% 6 → 5 councillors
- UHLocal lists 9.4% → 10.2% 2 → 2 councillors
- AZKLocal lists 7.6% → 8.1% 2 → 2 councillors
- PSE-EE (PSOE)PSOE 10.2% → 7.7% 2 → 1 councillors
- VOXVox 1.7% → 5.8% 0 → 1 councillors
- PPPP 3.3% → 2.4% 0 → 0 councillors
- ELKARREKIN PODEMOS-EZKER ANITZA/IU-ALIANZA VERDESumar, Podemos and allies 4.0% → 1.9% 0 → 0 councillors
- BBLocal lists 1.0% → 1.1% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 14,654 valid votes including 172 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.