Erandio: no list would have a majority, EAJ-PNV largest
Erandio (Bizkaia, 24,446 inhabitants) elects 21 councillors on 23 May 2027; 11 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 21councillors, 11 for a majority
- 99%no list with a majority
- 10,581valid votes in 2023 (56% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
EAJ-PNV±0
8
councillors (2023: 8) · 32.8% of the vote (2023: 35.4%)
Majority 1%
EH BILDU+1
7
councillors (2023: 6) · 30.1% of the vote (2023: 24.9%)
Majority 0%
PSE-EE (PSOE)±0
4
councillors (2023: 4) · 19.9% of the vote (2023: 20.7%)
Majority 0%
ELKARREKIN PODEMOS-EZKER ANITZA/IU-ALIANZA VERDE−1
1
councillors (2023: 2) · 7.2% of the vote (2023: 9.0%)
Majority 0%
PP±0
1
councillors (2023: 1) · 6.1% of the vote (2023: 6.4%)
Majority 0%
The line marks a majority (11 of 21). No list with a majority in 99% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- EAJ-PNVPNV 35.4% → 32.8% 8 → 8 councillors
- EH BILDUEH Bildu 24.9% → 30.1% 6 → 7 councillors
- PSE-EE (PSOE)PSOE 20.7% → 19.9% 4 → 4 councillors
- ELKARREKIN PODEMOS-EZKER ANITZA/IU-ALIANZA VERDESumar, Podemos and allies 9.0% → 7.2% 2 → 1 councillors
- PPPP 6.4% → 6.1% 1 → 1 councillors
- SOLIDARIALocal lists 1.2% → 1.4% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 10,581 valid votes including 260 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.