Durango: EH BILDU would win a majority
Durango (Bizkaia, 29,609 inhabitants) elects 21 councillors on 23 May 2027; 11 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 21councillors, 11 for a majority
- 55%EH BILDU majority
- 14,364valid votes in 2023 (63% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
EH BILDU+2
11
councillors (2023: 9) · 44.7% of the vote (2023: 37.8%)
Majority 55%
EAJ-PNV−1
7
councillors (2023: 8) · 31.9% of the vote (2023: 35.4%)
Majority 2%
SQ-2D±0
1
councillors (2023: 1) · 7.6% of the vote (2023: 6.6%)
Majority 0%
PSE-EE (PSOE)−1
1
councillors (2023: 2) · 6.1% of the vote (2023: 8.2%)
Majority 0%
PP±0
1
councillors (2023: 1) · 5.7% of the vote (2023: 6.1%)
Majority 0%
The line marks a majority (11 of 21). No list with a majority in 43% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- EH BILDUEH Bildu 37.8% → 44.7% 9 → 11 councillors
- EAJ-PNVPNV 35.4% → 31.9% 8 → 7 councillors
- SQ-2DLocal lists 6.6% → 7.6% 1 → 1 councillors
- PSE-EE (PSOE)PSOE 8.2% → 6.1% 2 → 1 councillors
- PPPP 6.1% → 5.7% 1 → 1 councillors
- PODEMOS, EZKER ANITZA / IU, ALIANZA VERDESumar, Podemos and allies 4.5% → 2.5% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 14,364 valid votes including 194 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.