Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Basauri: no list would have a majority, EAJ-PNV largest

Basauri (Bizkaia, 40,324 inhabitants) elects 21 councillors on 23 May 2027; 11 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

EAJ-PNV±0
9 councillors (2023: 9) · 36.8% of the vote (2023: 39.3%) Majority 6%
EH BILDU+1
5 councillors (2023: 4) · 24.0% of the vote (2023: 19.6%) Majority 0%
PSE-EE (PSOE)±0
5 councillors (2023: 5) · 22.3% of the vote (2023: 22.6%) Majority 0%
PP±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 7.5% of the vote (2023: 7.5%) Majority 0%
ELKARREKIN PODEMOS - EZKER ANITZA IU - BERDEAK EQU−1
1 councillors (2023: 2) · 6.4% of the vote (2023: 8.1%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (11 of 21). No list with a majority in 94% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. EAJ-PNVPNV 39.3% → 36.8% 9 → 9 councillors
  2. EH BILDUEH Bildu 19.6% → 24.0% 4 → 5 councillors
  3. PSE-EE (PSOE)PSOE 22.6% → 22.3% 5 → 5 councillors
  4. PPPP 7.5% → 7.5% 1 → 1 councillors
  5. ELKARREKIN PODEMOS - EZKER ANITZA IU - BERDEAK EQUSumar, Podemos and allies 8.1% → 6.4% 2 → 1 councillors
  6. PHLocal lists 1.2% → 1.4% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 17,834 valid votes including 302 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Basauri in size, in Bizkaia

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