Ondarroa: EH BILDU would keep its majority
Ondarroa (Bizkaia, 8,246 inhabitants) elects 13 councillors on 23 May 2027; 7 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 13councillors, 7 for a majority
- 85%EH BILDU majority
- 4,055valid votes in 2023 (61% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (7 of 13). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About Ondarroa
Ondarroa is a municipality in the province of Bizkaia with 8,246 inhabitants, the 24th largest of its 112 municipalities. Its council has 13 seats, and 7 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 EH BILDU came first with 49% of the vote and 7 seats, an absolute majority; EAJ-PNV was second with 6. 61.4% of the 6,602 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection keeps EH BILDU on 8 seats, a majority, which it holds in 85% of our simulations.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- EH BILDUEH Bildu 49.0% → 57.0% 7 → 8 councillors
- EAJ-PNVPNV 45.7% → 40.6% 6 → 5 councillors
- PSE-EE (PSOE)PSOE 1.9% → 0.0% 0 → 0 councillors
- PPPP 0.9% → 0.0% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 4,055 valid votes including 98 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.