España Próximas elecciones29 nov 2026en 27 días PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendario Historial Investigación

Balmaseda: no list would have a majority, C.L.I. largest

Balmaseda (Bizkaia, 7,636 inhabitants) elects 13 councillors on 23 May 2027; 7 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

C.L.I.+1
6 councillors (2023: 5) · 41.7% of the vote (2023: 36.3%) Majority 23%
EAJ-PNV±0
6 councillors (2023: 6) · 39.8% of the vote (2023: 44.2%) Majority 12%
EH BILDU±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 12.9% of the vote (2023: 11.0%) Majority 0%
PSE-EE (PSOE)−1
0 councillors (2023: 1) · 4.5% of the vote (2023: 6.7%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (7 of 13). No list with a majority in 65% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. C.L.I.Local lists 36.3% → 41.7% 5 → 6 councillors
  2. EAJ-PNVPNV 44.2% → 39.8% 6 → 6 councillors
  3. EH BILDUEH Bildu 11.0% → 12.9% 1 → 1 councillors
  4. PSE-EE (PSOE)PSOE 6.7% → 4.5% 1 → 0 councillors
  5. PPPP 0.8% → 0.0% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 4,140 valid votes including 45 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Balmaseda in size, in Bizkaia

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