Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Balmaseda: no list would have a majority, C.L.I. largest

Balmaseda (Bizkaia, 7,636 inhabitants) elects 13 councillors on 23 May 2027; 7 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

C.L.I.+1
6 councillors (2023: 5) · 41.7% of the vote (2023: 36.3%) Majority 23%
EAJ-PNV±0
6 councillors (2023: 6) · 39.8% of the vote (2023: 44.2%) Majority 12%
EH BILDU±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 12.9% of the vote (2023: 11.0%) Majority 0%
PSE-EE (PSOE)−1
0 councillors (2023: 1) · 4.5% of the vote (2023: 6.7%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (7 of 13). No list with a majority in 65% of 300 simulated elections.

Try it

What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Balmaseda

Balmaseda is a municipality in the province of Bizkaia with 7,636 inhabitants, the 26th largest of its 112 municipalities. Its council has 13 seats, and 7 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 EAJ-PNV came first with 44.2% of the vote and 6 seats; C.L.I. was second with 5. 69.7% of the 5,943 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: EAJ-PNV would be largest on 6 of 13.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. C.L.I.Local lists 36.3% → 41.7% 5 → 6 councillors
  2. EAJ-PNVPNV 44.2% → 39.8% 6 → 6 councillors
  3. EH BILDUEH Bildu 11.0% → 12.9% 1 → 1 councillors
  4. PSE-EE (PSOE)PSOE 6.7% → 4.5% 1 → 0 councillors
  5. PPPP 0.8% → 0.0% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 4,140 valid votes including 45 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Balmaseda in size, in Bizkaia

Every municipality in Bizkaia → · All of Spain →