Abadiño: EH BILDU would win a majority
Abadiño (Bizkaia, 7,708 inhabitants) elects 13 councillors on 23 May 2027; 7 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 13councillors, 7 for a majority
- 68%EH BILDU majority
- 3,853valid votes in 2023 (65% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
EH BILDU+1
7
councillors (2023: 6) · 48.2% of the vote (2023: 41.9%)
Majority 68%
EAJ-PNV−1
3
councillors (2023: 4) · 22.5% of the vote (2023: 25.6%)
Majority 0%
A.I.B.±0
2
councillors (2023: 2) · 18.1% of the vote (2023: 16.2%)
Majority 0%
PSE-EE (PSOE)±0
1
councillors (2023: 1) · 7.9% of the vote (2023: 10.1%)
Majority 0%
The line marks a majority (7 of 13). No list with a majority in 32% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- EH BILDUEH Bildu 41.9% → 48.2% 6 → 7 councillors
- EAJ-PNVPNV 25.6% → 22.5% 4 → 3 councillors
- A.I.B.Local lists 16.2% → 18.1% 2 → 2 councillors
- PSE-EE (PSOE)PSOE 10.1% → 7.9% 1 → 1 councillors
- PODEMOS, EZKER ANITZA / IU, ALIANZA VERDESumar, Podemos and allies 3.7% → 1.7% 0 → 0 councillors
- PPPP 1.5% → 0.5% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 3,853 valid votes including 41 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.