Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Muskiz: no list would have a majority, PSE-EE (PSOE) largest

Muskiz (Bizkaia, 7,367 inhabitants) elects 13 councillors on 23 May 2027; 7 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PSE-EE (PSOE)±0
6 councillors (2023: 6) · 40.6% of the vote (2023: 39.5%) Majority 15%
EAJ-PNV−1
4 councillors (2023: 5) · 32.1% of the vote (2023: 34.6%) Majority 0%
EH BILDU+1
3 councillors (2023: 2) · 24.0% of the vote (2023: 19.7%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (7 of 13). No list with a majority in 85% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PSE-EE (PSOE)PSOE 39.5% → 40.6% 6 → 6 councillors
  2. EAJ-PNVPNV 34.6% → 32.1% 5 → 4 councillors
  3. EH BILDUEH Bildu 19.7% → 24.0% 2 → 3 councillors
  4. ELKARREKIN PODEMOS-EZKER ANITZA/IU-ALIANZA VERDESumar, Podemos and allies 3.6% → 1.7% 0 → 0 councillors
  5. PPPP 1.0% → 0.0% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 4,066 valid votes including 64 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Muskiz in size, in Bizkaia

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