Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Ortuella: no list would have a majority, EAJ-PNV largest

Ortuella (Bizkaia, 8,466 inhabitants) elects 13 councillors on 23 May 2027; 7 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

EAJ-PNV±0
5 councillors (2023: 5) · 34.1% of the vote (2023: 36.6%) Majority 1%
EH BILDU±0
4 councillors (2023: 4) · 32.4% of the vote (2023: 26.6%) Majority 1%
PSE-EE (PSOE)±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 16.8% of the vote (2023: 17.7%) Majority 0%
ELKARREKIN PODEMOS - BOROBIL- EZKER ANITZA / IU±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 13.2% of the vote (2023: 14.8%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (7 of 13). No list with a majority in 98% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. EAJ-PNVPNV 36.6% → 34.1% 5 → 5 councillors
  2. EH BILDUEH Bildu 26.6% → 32.4% 4 → 4 councillors
  3. PSE-EE (PSOE)PSOE 17.7% → 16.8% 2 → 2 councillors
  4. ELKARREKIN PODEMOS - BOROBIL- EZKER ANITZA / IUSumar, Podemos and allies 14.8% → 13.2% 2 → 2 councillors
  5. PPPP 2.2% → 1.4% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 4,044 valid votes including 83 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Ortuella in size, in Bizkaia

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