Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Abanto y Ciérvana-Abanto Zierbena: no list would have a majority, EAJ-PNV largest

Abanto y Ciérvana-Abanto Zierbena (Bizkaia, 9,369 inhabitants) elects 13 councillors on 23 May 2027; 7 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

EAJ-PNV−1
4 councillors (2023: 5) · 29.6% of the vote (2023: 32.7%) Majority 0%
EH BILDU+1
4 councillors (2023: 3) · 27.7% of the vote (2023: 23.3%) Majority under 1%
IN.D.A.Z.±0
3 councillors (2023: 3) · 24.7% of the vote (2023: 21.4%) Majority 0%
PSE-EE (PSOE)±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 13.3% of the vote (2023: 14.9%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (7 of 13). No list with a majority in over 99% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. EAJ-PNVPNV 32.7% → 29.6% 5 → 4 councillors
  2. EH BILDUEH Bildu 23.3% → 27.7% 3 → 4 councillors
  3. IN.D.A.Z.Local lists 21.4% → 24.7% 3 → 3 councillors
  4. PSE-EE (PSOE)PSOE 14.9% → 13.3% 2 → 2 councillors
  5. ELKARREKIN PODEMOS-EZKER ANITZA/IU-ALIANZA VERDESumar, Podemos and allies 5.0% → 3.0% 0 → 0 councillors
  6. PPPP 1.2% → 0.2% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 4,673 valid votes including 70 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Abanto y Ciérvana-Abanto Zierbena in size, in Bizkaia

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