Abanto y Ciérvana-Abanto Zierbena: no list would have a majority, EAJ-PNV largest
Abanto y Ciérvana-Abanto Zierbena (Bizkaia, 9,369 inhabitants) elects 13 councillors on 23 May 2027; 7 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 13councillors, 7 for a majority
- over 99%no list with a majority
- 4,673valid votes in 2023 (60% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (7 of 13). No list with a majority in over 99% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About Abanto y Ciérvana-Abanto Zierbena
Abanto y Ciérvana-Abanto Zierbena is a municipality in the province of Bizkaia with 9,369 inhabitants, the 21st largest of its 112 municipalities. Its council has 13 seats, and 7 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 EAJ-PNV came first with 32.7% of the vote and 5 seats; EH BILDU was second with 3. 60.2% of the 7,762 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: EAJ-PNV would be largest on 4 of 13.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- EAJ-PNVPNV 32.7% → 29.6% 5 → 4 councillors
- EH BILDUEH Bildu 23.3% → 27.7% 3 → 4 councillors
- IN.D.A.Z.Local lists 21.4% → 24.7% 3 → 3 councillors
- PSE-EE (PSOE)PSOE 14.9% → 13.3% 2 → 2 councillors
- ELKARREKIN PODEMOS-EZKER ANITZA/IU-ALIANZA VERDESumar, Podemos and allies 5.0% → 3.0% 0 → 0 councillors
- PPPP 1.2% → 0.2% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 4,673 valid votes including 70 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.