Etxebarri: L.V.P. would keep its majority
Etxebarri (Bizkaia, 11,780 inhabitants) elects 17 councillors on 23 May 2027; 9 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 17councillors, 9 for a majority
- over 99%L.V.P. majority
- 5,649valid votes in 2023 (62% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
L.V.P.+2
14
councillors (2023: 12) · 72.1% of the vote (2023: 67.6%)
Majority over 99%
EH BILDU±0
2
councillors (2023: 2) · 12.4% of the vote (2023: 11.3%)
Majority 0%
EAJ-PNV−1
1
councillors (2023: 2) · 10.2% of the vote (2023: 12.2%)
Majority 0%
PSE-EE (PSOE)−1
0
councillors (2023: 1) · 3.9% of the vote (2023: 6.4%)
Majority 0%
The line marks a majority (9 of 17). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- L.V.P.Local lists 67.6% → 72.1% 12 → 14 councillors
- EH BILDUEH Bildu 11.3% → 12.4% 2 → 2 councillors
- EAJ-PNVPNV 12.2% → 10.2% 2 → 1 councillors
- PSE-EE (PSOE)PSOE 6.4% → 3.9% 1 → 0 councillors
- PPPP 1.4% → 0.4% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 5,649 valid votes including 61 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.
Near Etxebarri in size, in Bizkaia
- Valle de Trápaga-Trapagaran11,918 inhabitants · 17 councillors
- Arrigorriaga11,954 inhabitants · 17 councillors
- Sopela14,635 inhabitants · 17 councillors
- Abanto y Ciérvana-Abanto Zierbena9,369 inhabitants · 13 councillors
- Ermua15,589 inhabitants · 17 councillors
- Ortuella8,466 inhabitants · 13 councillors