Sopela: EH BILDU would win a majority
Sopela (Bizkaia, 14,635 inhabitants) elects 17 councillors on 23 May 2027; 9 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 17councillors, 9 for a majority
- 67%EH BILDU majority
- 6,686valid votes in 2023 (59% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
EH BILDU+1
9
councillors (2023: 8) · 42.7% of the vote (2023: 36.5%)
Majority 67%
EAJ-PNV−1
5
councillors (2023: 6) · 27.6% of the vote (2023: 30.8%)
Majority 0%
AVS/SAA+1
2
councillors (2023: 1) · 9.6% of the vote (2023: 8.4%)
Majority 0%
PSE-EE (PSOE)±0
1
councillors (2023: 1) · 5.0% of the vote (2023: 7.2%)
Majority 0%
ELKARREKIN PODEMOS - EZKER ANITZA / IU - BERDEAK E−1
0
councillors (2023: 1) · 4.0% of the vote (2023: 6.0%)
Majority 0%
The line marks a majority (9 of 17). No list with a majority in 33% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- EH BILDUEH Bildu 36.5% → 42.7% 8 → 9 councillors
- EAJ-PNVPNV 30.8% → 27.6% 6 → 5 councillors
- AVS/SAALocal lists 8.4% → 9.6% 1 → 2 councillors
- PSE-EE (PSOE)PSOE 7.2% → 5.0% 1 → 1 councillors
- ELKARREKIN PODEMOS - EZKER ANITZA / IU - BERDEAK ESumar, Podemos and allies 6.0% → 4.0% 1 → 0 councillors
- DB-TULocal lists 2.7% → 3.1% 0 → 0 councillors
- BBLocal lists 2.7% → 3.1% 0 → 0 councillors
- PPPP 3.5% → 2.7% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 6,686 valid votes including 143 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.