Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Lezama: EAJ-PNV would keep its majority

Lezama (Bizkaia, 2,477 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

EAJ-PNV−1
7 councillors (2023: 8) · 63.0% of the vote (2023: 66.1%) Majority 99%
EH BILDU+1
4 councillors (2023: 3) · 33.1% of the vote (2023: 26.5%) Majority 1%

The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

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About Lezama

Lezama is a municipality in the province of Bizkaia with 2,477 inhabitants, the 51st largest of its 112 municipalities. Its council has 11 seats, and 6 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 EAJ-PNV came first with 66.1% of the vote and 8 seats, an absolute majority; EH BILDU was second with 3. 69.3% of the 1,931 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection keeps EAJ-PNV on 7 seats, a majority, which it holds in 99% of our simulations.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. EAJ-PNVPNV 66.1% → 63.0% 8 → 7 councillors
  2. EH BILDUEH Bildu 26.5% → 33.1% 3 → 4 councillors
  3. PPPP 1.5% → 0.5% 0 → 0 councillors
  4. PSE-EE (PSOE)PSOE 2.9% → 0.5% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,338 valid votes including 39 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Lezama in size, in Bizkaia

Every municipality in Bizkaia → · All of Spain →