Orozko: EAJ-PNV would keep its majority
Orozko (Bizkaia, 2,664 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 11councillors, 6 for a majority
- 59%EAJ-PNV majority
- 1,305valid votes in 2023 (62% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 2% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About Orozko
Orozko is a municipality in the province of Bizkaia with 2,664 inhabitants, the 50th largest of its 112 municipalities. Its council has 11 seats, and 6 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 EAJ-PNV came first with 51.3% of the vote and 7 seats, an absolute majority; EH BILDU was second with 4. 61.6% of the 2,120 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection keeps EAJ-PNV on 6 seats, a majority, which it holds in 59% of our simulations.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- EAJ-PNVPNV 51.3% → 47.4% 7 → 6 councillors
- EH BILDUEH Bildu 36.6% → 44.2% 4 → 5 councillors
- PODEMOS, EZKER ANITZA / IU, ALIANZA VERDESumar, Podemos and allies 6.9% → 5.1% 0 → 0 councillors
- PSE-EE (PSOE)PSOE 1.3% → 0.0% 0 → 0 councillors
- PPPP 0.6% → 0.0% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,305 valid votes including 44 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.