España Próximas elecciones29 nov 2026en 27 días PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendario Historial Investigación

Sopuerta: EH BILDU would keep its majority

Sopuerta (Bizkaia, 2,698 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

EH BILDU±0
6 councillors (2023: 6) · 51.0% of the vote (2023: 45.4%) Majority 86%
EAJ-PNV±0
3 councillors (2023: 3) · 24.3% of the vote (2023: 28.3%) Majority 0%
AEI±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 20.0% of the vote (2023: 18.3%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 14% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. EH BILDUEH Bildu 45.4% → 51.0% 6 → 6 councillors
  2. EAJ-PNVPNV 28.3% → 24.3% 3 → 3 councillors
  3. AEILocal lists 18.3% → 20.0% 2 → 2 councillors
  4. PSE-EE (PSOE)PSOE 4.7% → 2.2% 0 → 0 councillors
  5. PPPP 0.9% → 0.0% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,350 valid votes including 33 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Sopuerta in size, in Bizkaia

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