Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Bakio: EH BILDU would keep its majority

Bakio (Bizkaia, 2,812 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

EH BILDU±0
7 councillors (2023: 7) · 63.6% of the vote (2023: 55.7%) Majority over 99%
EAJ-PNV±0
4 councillors (2023: 4) · 34.6% of the vote (2023: 39.7%) Majority under 1%

The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. EH BILDUEH Bildu 55.7% → 63.6% 7 → 7 councillors
  2. EAJ-PNVPNV 39.7% → 34.6% 4 → 4 councillors
  3. PPPP 1.2% → 0.2% 0 → 0 councillors
  4. PSE-EE (PSOE)PSOE 1.8% → 0.0% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,619 valid votes including 26 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Bakio in size, in Bizkaia

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