Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Loiu: EAJ-PNV would keep its majority

Loiu (Bizkaia, 2,318 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

EAJ-PNV±0
8 councillors (2023: 8) · 62.6% of the vote (2023: 65.4%) Majority over 99%
EH BILDU+1
3 councillors (2023: 2) · 24.6% of the vote (2023: 19.6%) Majority 0%
PP−1
0 councillors (2023: 1) · 7.5% of the vote (2023: 7.4%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Loiu

Loiu is a municipality in the province of Bizkaia with 2,318 inhabitants, the 52nd largest of its 112 municipalities. Its council has 11 seats, and 6 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 EAJ-PNV came first with 65.4% of the vote and 8 seats, an absolute majority; EH BILDU was second with 2. 65.1% of the 1,810 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection keeps EAJ-PNV on 8 seats, a majority, which it holds in 100% of our simulations.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. EAJ-PNVPNV 65.4% → 62.6% 8 → 8 councillors
  2. EH BILDUEH Bildu 19.6% → 24.6% 2 → 3 councillors
  3. PPPP 7.4% → 7.5% 1 → 0 councillors
  4. PSE-EE (PSOE)PSOE 4.0% → 1.7% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,178 valid votes including 43 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Loiu in size, in Bizkaia

Every municipality in Bizkaia → · All of Spain →