Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Larrabetzu: EH BILDU would keep its majority

Larrabetzu (Bizkaia, 2,049 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

EH BILDU±0
7 councillors (2023: 7) · 63.3% of the vote (2023: 56.2%) Majority 98%
EAJ-PNV±0
4 councillors (2023: 4) · 33.9% of the vote (2023: 39.5%) Majority 2%

The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. EH BILDUEH Bildu 56.2% → 63.3% 7 → 7 councillors
  2. EAJ-PNVPNV 39.5% → 33.9% 4 → 4 councillors
  3. PSE-EE (PSOE)PSOE 0.9% → 0.0% 0 → 0 councillors
  4. PPPP 0.5% → 0.0% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,170 valid votes including 33 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Larrabetzu in size, in Bizkaia

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