Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Busturia: EAJ-PNV would keep its majority

Busturia (Bizkaia, 1,667 inhabitants) elects 9 councillors on 23 May 2027; 5 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

EAJ-PNV±0
5 councillors (2023: 5) · 49.2% of the vote (2023: 54.3%) Majority 55%
EH BILDU±0
4 councillors (2023: 4) · 46.8% of the vote (2023: 39.4%) Majority 45%

The line marks a majority (5 of 9). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. EAJ-PNVPNV 54.3% → 49.2% 5 → 5 councillors
  2. EH BILDUEH Bildu 39.4% → 46.8% 4 → 4 councillors
  3. PSE-EE (PSOE)PSOE 3.9% → 1.6% 0 → 0 councillors
  4. PPPP 0.0% → 0.0% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 866 valid votes including 21 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Busturia in size, in Bizkaia

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