Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Barrika: no list would have a majority, EH BILDU largest

Barrika (Bizkaia, 1,547 inhabitants) elects 9 councillors on 23 May 2027; 5 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

EH BILDU±0
4 councillors (2023: 4) · 38.5% of the vote (2023: 32.3%) Majority 22%
EAJ-PNV±0
4 councillors (2023: 4) · 35.5% of the vote (2023: 39.0%) Majority 7%
IBARRIKA±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 15.5% of the vote (2023: 13.4%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (5 of 9). No list with a majority in 71% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Barrika

Barrika is a municipality in the province of Bizkaia with 1,547 inhabitants, the 59th largest of its 112 municipalities. Its council has 9 seats, and 5 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 EAJ-PNV came first with 39% of the vote and 4 seats; EH BILDU was second with 4. 60.7% of the 1,245 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: EAJ-PNV would be largest on 4 of 9.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. EH BILDUEH Bildu 32.3% → 38.5% 4 → 4 councillors
  2. EAJ-PNVPNV 39.0% → 35.5% 4 → 4 councillors
  3. IBARRIKALocal lists 13.4% → 15.5% 1 → 1 councillors
  4. PPPP 3.7% → 3.0% 0 → 0 councillors
  5. PSE-EE (PSOE)PSOE 4.9% → 2.6% 0 → 0 councillors
  6. BERDEAK EQUOSumar, Podemos and allies 3.8% → 1.9% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 756 valid votes including 22 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Barrika in size, in Bizkaia

Every municipality in Bizkaia → · All of Spain →