Cebreros: PNTAV would keep its majority
Cebreros (Ávila, 3,213 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 11councillors, 6 for a majority
- 97%PNTAV majority
- 1,831valid votes in 2023 (74% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 3% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About Cebreros
Cebreros is a municipality in the province of Ávila with 3,213 inhabitants, the 8th largest of its 248 municipalities. Its council has 11 seats, and 6 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 PNTAV came first with 54.5% of the vote and 7 seats, an absolute majority; PP was second with 2. 74% of the 2,475 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection keeps PNTAV on 7 seats, a majority, which it holds in 97% of our simulations.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PNTAVLocal lists 54.5% → 53.6% 7 → 7 councillors
- PPPP 21.3% → 19.3% 2 → 2 councillors
- VOXVox 11.4% → 17.4% 1 → 2 councillors
- PSOEPSOE 9.6% → 6.5% 1 → 0 councillors
- XAVLocal lists 0.8% → 0.8% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,831 valid votes including 46 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.