La Adrada: no list would have a majority, PNTAV largest
La Adrada (Ávila, 2,750 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 11councillors, 6 for a majority
- 74%no list with a majority
- 1,499valid votes in 2023 (71% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
PNTAV±0
5
councillors (2023: 5) · 36.9% of the vote (2023: 35.6%)
Majority 18%
PP+1
5
councillors (2023: 4) · 34.6% of the vote (2023: 35.5%)
Majority 8%
POR.LA±0
1
councillors (2023: 1) · 10.7% of the vote (2023: 10.3%)
Majority 0%
PSOE−1
0
councillors (2023: 1) · 6.7% of the vote (2023: 9.5%)
Majority 0%
The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 74% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PNTAVLocal lists 35.6% → 36.9% 5 → 5 councillors
- PPPP 35.5% → 34.6% 4 → 5 councillors
- POR.LALocal lists 10.3% → 10.7% 1 → 1 councillors
- PSOEPSOE 9.5% → 6.7% 1 → 0 councillors
- VOXVox 2.0% → 6.0% 0 → 0 councillors
- PODEMOS-AVSumar, Podemos and allies 4.1% → 2.0% 0 → 0 councillors
- XAVLocal lists 1.5% → 1.5% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,499 valid votes including 24 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.