Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Cebreros: PNTAV would keep its majority

Cebreros (Ávila, 3,213 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PNTAV±0
7 councillors (2023: 7) · 53.6% of the vote (2023: 54.5%) Majority 97%
PP±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 19.3% of the vote (2023: 21.3%) Majority 0%
VOX+1
2 councillors (2023: 1) · 17.4% of the vote (2023: 11.4%) Majority 0%
PSOE−1
0 councillors (2023: 1) · 6.5% of the vote (2023: 9.6%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 3% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PNTAVLocal lists 54.5% → 53.6% 7 → 7 councillors
  2. PPPP 21.3% → 19.3% 2 → 2 councillors
  3. VOXVox 11.4% → 17.4% 1 → 2 councillors
  4. PSOEPSOE 9.6% → 6.5% 1 → 0 councillors
  5. XAVLocal lists 0.8% → 0.8% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,831 valid votes including 46 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Cebreros in size, in Ávila

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