El Tiemblo: no list would have a majority, XAV largest
El Tiemblo (Ávila, 4,373 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 11councillors, 6 for a majority
- over 99%no list with a majority
- 2,085valid votes in 2023 (63% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
XAV±0
3
councillors (2023: 3) · 26.1% of the vote (2023: 26.1%)
Majority 0%
PNTAV±0
3
councillors (2023: 3) · 21.5% of the vote (2023: 21.5%)
Majority 0%
VOX±0
2
councillors (2023: 2) · 21.4% of the vote (2023: 14.3%)
Majority 0%
PP±0
2
councillors (2023: 2) · 18.3% of the vote (2023: 19.9%)
Majority 0%
PSOE±0
1
councillors (2023: 1) · 9.2% of the vote (2023: 12.4%)
Majority 0%
The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in over 99% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- XAVLocal lists 26.1% → 26.1% 3 → 3 councillors
- PNTAVLocal lists 21.5% → 21.5% 3 → 3 councillors
- VOXVox 14.3% → 21.4% 2 → 2 councillors
- PPPP 19.9% → 18.3% 2 → 2 councillors
- PSOEPSOE 12.4% → 9.2% 1 → 1 councillors
- IU-PODEMOSSumar, Podemos and allies 4.5% → 2.2% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 2,085 valid votes including 26 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.