Arenas de San Pedro: PP would keep its majority
Arenas de San Pedro (Ávila, 6,465 inhabitants) elects 13 councillors on 23 May 2027; 7 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 13councillors, 7 for a majority
- over 99%PP majority
- 3,468valid votes in 2023 (65% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (7 of 13). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About Arenas de San Pedro
Arenas de San Pedro is a municipality in the province of Ávila with 6,465 inhabitants, the 3rd largest of its 248 municipalities. Its council has 13 seats, and 7 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 PP came first with 60.5% of the vote and 8 seats, an absolute majority; PSOE was second with 4. 64.9% of the 5,345 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection keeps PP on 9 seats, a majority, which it holds in 100% of our simulations.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PPPP 60.5% → 65.5% 8 → 9 councillors
- PSOEPSOE 27.5% → 26.4% 4 → 4 councillors
- I.U.Sumar, Podemos and allies 7.8% → 5.8% 1 → 0 councillors
- XAVLocal lists 1.0% → 1.1% 0 → 0 councillors
- PODEMOS-AVSumar, Podemos and allies 2.2% → 0.3% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 3,468 valid votes including 32 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.