Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Las Navas del Marqués: PP would keep its majority

Las Navas del Marqués (Ávila, 5,268 inhabitants) elects 13 councillors on 23 May 2027; 7 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP±0
8 councillors (2023: 8) · 54.9% of the vote (2023: 56.4%) Majority 97%
PSOE−1
3 councillors (2023: 4) · 24.0% of the vote (2023: 27.8%) Majority 0%
VOX±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 11.6% of the vote (2023: 6.4%) Majority 0%
PNTAV+1
1 councillors (2023: 0) · 6.1% of the vote (2023: 6.0%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (7 of 13). No list with a majority in 3% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 56.4% → 54.9% 8 → 8 councillors
  2. PSOEPSOE 27.8% → 24.0% 4 → 3 councillors
  3. VOXVox 6.4% → 11.6% 1 → 1 councillors
  4. PNTAVLocal lists 6.0% → 6.1% 0 → 1 councillors
  5. XAVLocal lists 1.5% → 1.5% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 2,470 valid votes including 48 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Las Navas del Marqués in size, in Ávila

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