Arévalo: PP would keep its majority
Arévalo (Ávila, 7,884 inhabitants) elects 13 councillors on 23 May 2027; 7 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 13councillors, 7 for a majority
- 56%PP majority
- 4,454valid votes in 2023 (71% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
PP±0
7
councillors (2023: 7) · 46.4% of the vote (2023: 49.1%)
Majority 56%
AREVALO DECIDE±0
4
councillors (2023: 4) · 31.5% of the vote (2023: 31.6%)
Majority 0%
VOX+1
2
councillors (2023: 1) · 15.3% of the vote (2023: 9.6%)
Majority 0%
PSOE−1
0
councillors (2023: 1) · 5.8% of the vote (2023: 8.8%)
Majority 0%
The line marks a majority (7 of 13). No list with a majority in 44% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PPPP 49.1% → 46.4% 7 → 7 councillors
- AREVALO DECIDELocal lists 31.6% → 31.5% 4 → 4 councillors
- VOXVox 9.6% → 15.3% 1 → 2 councillors
- PSOEPSOE 8.8% → 5.8% 1 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 4,454 valid votes including 45 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.