El Barco de Ávila: PP would keep its majority
El Barco de Ávila (Ávila, 2,249 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 11councillors, 6 for a majority
- 89%PP majority
- 1,256valid votes in 2023 (68% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
PP−1
6
councillors (2023: 7) · 53.6% of the vote (2023: 54.9%)
Majority 89%
PSOE±0
4
councillors (2023: 4) · 32.1% of the vote (2023: 36.2%)
Majority 1%
VOX+1
1
councillors (2023: 0) · 12.1% of the vote (2023: 6.7%)
Majority 0%
The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 10% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PPPP 54.9% → 53.6% 7 → 6 councillors
- PSOEPSOE 36.2% → 32.1% 4 → 4 councillors
- VOXVox 6.7% → 12.1% 0 → 1 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,256 valid votes including 27 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.