Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

El Barraco: PP would keep its majority

El Barraco (Ávila, 1,956 inhabitants) elects 9 councillors on 23 May 2027; 5 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP±0
6 councillors (2023: 6) · 56.5% of the vote (2023: 59.1%) Majority 97%
VOX±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 16.7% of the vote (2023: 10.6%) Majority 0%
PSOE±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 13.5% of the vote (2023: 17.0%) Majority 0%
XAV±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 12.9% of the vote (2023: 12.9%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (5 of 9). No list with a majority in 3% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 59.1% → 56.5% 6 → 6 councillors
  2. VOXVox 10.6% → 16.7% 1 → 1 councillors
  3. PSOEPSOE 17.0% → 13.5% 1 → 1 councillors
  4. XAVLocal lists 12.9% → 12.9% 1 → 1 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,194 valid votes including 5 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near El Barraco in size, in Ávila

Every municipality in Ávila → · All of Spain →