El Barco de Ávila: PP would keep its majority
El Barco de Ávila (Ávila, 2,249 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 11councillors, 6 for a majority
- 89%PP majority
- 1,256valid votes in 2023 (68% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 10% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About El Barco de Ávila
El Barco de Ávila is a municipality in the province of Ávila with 2,249 inhabitants, the 10th largest of its 248 municipalities. Its council has 11 seats, and 6 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 PP came first with 54.9% of the vote and 7 seats, an absolute majority; PSOE was second with 4. 68.5% of the 1,834 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection keeps PP on 6 seats, a majority, which it holds in 89% of our simulations.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PPPP 54.9% → 53.6% 7 → 6 councillors
- PSOEPSOE 36.2% → 32.1% 4 → 4 councillors
- VOXVox 6.7% → 12.1% 0 → 1 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,256 valid votes including 27 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.