Polls · Next federal election
Nanos Research, 30 October 2026
Nanos Research has Liberal ahead of Conservative by 16.5 points, 45.4% to 28.9%. Since its previous poll (23 October 2026): Liberal −1.9 (47.3 → 45.4), Conservative +1.1 (27.8 → 28.9).
| Fieldwork | 3 October 2026 – 30 October 2026 |
|---|---|
| Published | 3 November 2026 |
| Sample | 1,014 |
| Method | telephone (live interviewer) |
| Release | release |
| In our average | No: a newer poll by this pollster counts instead, or it is older than the window |
Nanos weekly tracking (four-week rolling sample: start = end - 27 days), read from the PDF text
Decided and leaning voters, as published. We rescale the parties to 100 before averaging.
Main
| % | |
|---|---|
 Liberal |
45.4 |
 Conservative |
28.9 |
 NDP |
13.6 |
 Bloc |
7.4 |
 PPC |
2.7 |
 Green |
1.9 |
Against the other polls
Against the median of the 3 other polls with fieldwork ending within a week of it: Conservative 28.9% against 31%.