How well do you know the polls?
Ten questions from today's figures: our poll averages, our forecast and how the polls did at past elections. Round 58 for 4 November 2026.
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1Which party won the most votes at the Netherlands' 2023 election?
PVV with 23.5%, ahead of PRO on 15.7%. See the page
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2To the nearest point, what share of the vote did PSOE win at Spain's April 2019 election?
28.7%. See the page
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3To the nearest point, what share of the vote did Coalition win at Australia's 2019 election?
41.4%. See the page
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4In Poland, what chance does our forecast give for “Lewica clears 5%”?
78%, from thousands of simulated elections with the polls missing as they have before. See the page
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5Which party won the most votes at Spain's 2023 election?
PP with 33.1%, ahead of PSOE on 31.7%. See the page
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6At Poland's 2023 election, how far out was the average final poll, per party, to the nearest half point?
1.9 points per party, over 12 final polls. See the page
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7At Italy's 2022 election, how far out was the average final poll, per party, to the nearest half point?
1.9 points per party, over 21 final polls. See the page
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8How many seats does our forecast give AfD in the Bundestag in Germany?
197 in our projection, 119 short of a majority. See the page
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9At which election since 2000 were France's final polls furthest out?
2022: 2.3 points out per party on average. See the page
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10At Italy's 2022 election, which party did the final polls overstate most?
Lega: 12.0% in the final polls, 8.8% on the day. See the page
out of 10
Questions are written automatically from the figures on the site, so they change as new polls come in. Your answers and score stay in your browser.