How well do you know the polls?
Ten questions from today's figures: our poll averages, our forecast and how the polls did at past elections. Round 59 for 4 November 2026.
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1Who leads the polls in Canada?
Liberal on 46.2% in our average, ahead of Conservative on 30.7%. See the page
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2Which pollster's final polls have been closest to the result in Germany?
Wahlkreisprognose: 0.8 points out per party on average over 2 elections, the best of 4. See the page
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3Which party won the most votes at Canada's 2019 election?
Conservative with 34.3%, ahead of Liberal on 33.1%. See the page
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4Which party won the most votes at Poland's 2011 election?
KO with 39.2%, ahead of PiS on 29.9%. See the page
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5Who leads the polls in Germany?
AfD on 27.4% in our average, ahead of CDU/CSU on 20.5%. See the page
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6In France, what chance does our forecast give for “Le Pen v Mélenchon in round two”?
72%, from thousands of simulated elections with the polls missing as they have before. See the page
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7At the United Kingdom's 2024 election, which party did the final polls overstate most?
Lab: 38.9% in the final polls, 34.7% on the day. See the page
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8To the nearest point, what share of the vote did Con win at the United Kingdom's 2015 election?
37.7%. See the page
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9At the Netherlands' 2025 election, which party did the final polls overstate most?
PRO: 15.4% in the final polls, 12.8% on the day. See the page
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10At which election since 2000 were the Netherlands' final polls furthest out?
2002: 2.4 points out per party on average. See the page
out of 10
Questions are written automatically from the figures on the site, so they change as new polls come in. Your answers and score stay in your browser.