How well do you know the polls in France?
Ten questions from today's figures: our poll averages, our forecast and how the polls did at past elections. Round 59 for 4 November 2026.
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1To the nearest point, what share of the vote did Ensemble win at France's 2017 election?
24.0%. See the page
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2To the nearest point, what share of the vote did Ensemble win at France's 2022 election?
27.9%. See the page
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3Which party won the most votes at France's 2017 election?
Ensemble with 24.0%, ahead of RN on 21.3%. See the page
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4At which election since 2000 were France's final polls furthest out?
2022: 2.3 points out per party on average. See the page
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5In France, what chance does our forecast give for “Le Pen wins”?
93%, from thousands of simulated elections with the polls missing as they have before. See the page
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6Who leads the polls in France?
Le Pen on 34.2% in our average, ahead of Mélenchon on 16.8%. See the page
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7In France, whose poll average has moved most in the last week of polling?
Philippe: down 1.2 points, now 14.3%. See the page
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8How many seats does our forecast give RN and allies in the Assemblée nationale in France?
123 in our projection. See the page
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9In France, what chance does our forecast give for “Le Pen v Mélenchon in round two”?
72%, from thousands of simulated elections with the polls missing as they have before. See the page
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10Which party won the most votes at France's 2022 election?
Ensemble with 27.9%, ahead of RN on 23.2%. See the page
out of 10
Questions are written automatically from the figures on the site, so they change as new polls come in. Your answers and score stay in your browser.