How well do you know the polls in Australia?

1. 1At Australia's 2025 election, which party did the final polls overstate most?

   Greens Labor Coalition

2. 2At Australia's 2025 election, which party did better than the final polls said, by the most?

   Labor Coalition Greens

3. 3Which party has gained most in the polls since Australia's last election?

   Coalition Greens Labor One Nation

4. 4To the nearest point, what share of the vote did Coalition win at Australia's 2022 election?

   32% 36% 40% 44%

5. 5In Australia, what chance does our forecast give for “Coalition + One Nation 76+”?

   20% 35% 60% 85%

6. 6How many seats does our forecast give One Nation in the House of Representatives in Australia?

   47 55 63 71

7. 7In Australia, whose poll average has moved most in the last week of polling?

   Coalition One Nation Labor Greens

8. 8To the nearest point, what share of the vote did Labor win at Australia's 2025 election?

   31% 35% 39% 43%

9. 9At Australia's 2025 election, how far out was the average final poll, per party, to the nearest half point?

   1.0 point 2.0 points 3.0 points 6.0 points

10. 10Which party won the most votes at Australia's 2016 election?

    Greens One Nation Coalition Labor

Questions are written automatically from the figures on the site, so they change as new polls come in. Your answers and score stay in your browser.