How well do you know the polls in Canada?

1. 1At Canada's 2025 election, which party did better than the final polls said, by the most?

   NDP Conservative Liberal Bloc

2. 2At which election since 2000 were Canada's final polls closest to the result?

   2004 2019 2000 2011

3. 3Which party won the most votes at Canada's 2025 election?

   Conservative Bloc NDP Liberal

4. 4How many seats does our forecast give Conservative in the House of Commons in Canada?

   55 73 82 91

5. 5Which party won the most votes at Canada's 2021 election?

   NDP Bloc Liberal Conservative

6. 6In Canada, what chance does our forecast give for “NDP reaches 12 seats (party status)”?

   11% 36% 61% 76%

7. 7At which election since 2000 were Canada's final polls furthest out?

   2004 2011 2015 2000

8. 8To the nearest point, what share of the vote did Liberal win at Canada's 2025 election?

   36% 40% 44% 52%

9. 9Which party has lost most support since Canada's last election (28 April 2025)?

   Bloc NDP PPC Conservative

10. 10To the nearest point, what share of the vote did Liberal win at Canada's 2015 election?

    31% 39% 43% 47%

Questions are written automatically from the figures on the site, so they change as new polls come in. Your answers and score stay in your browser.