How well do you know the polls in France?
Ten questions from today's figures: our poll averages, our forecast and how the polls did at past elections. Round 58 for 4 November 2026.
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1To the nearest point, what share of the vote did PS win at France's 2012 election?
28.6%. See the page
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2Which party won the most votes at France's 2012 election?
PS with 28.6%, ahead of LR on 27.2%. See the page
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3In France, whose poll average has moved most in the last week of polling?
Philippe: down 1.2 points, now 14.3%. See the page
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4In France, what chance does our forecast give for “Le Pen wins”?
93%, from thousands of simulated elections with the polls missing as they have before. See the page
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5Who leads the polls in France?
Le Pen on 34.2% in our average, ahead of Mélenchon on 16.8%. See the page
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6At France's 2024 election, how far out was the average final poll, per party, to the nearest half point?
1.0 point per party, over 7 final polls. See the page
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7Which party won the most votes at France's 2017 election?
Ensemble with 24.0%, ahead of RN on 21.3%. See the page
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8Which party won the most votes at France's 2007 election?
LR with 31.2%, ahead of PS on 25.9%. See the page
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9At France's 2024 election, which party did the final polls overstate most?
RN + allies: 36.1% in the final polls, 33.2% on the day. See the page
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10How many seats does our forecast give RN and allies in the Assemblée nationale in France?
123 in our projection. See the page
out of 10
Questions are written automatically from the figures on the site, so they change as new polls come in. Your answers and score stay in your browser.