How well do you know the polls?
Ten questions from today's figures: our poll averages, our forecast and how the polls did at past elections. Round 53 for 4 November 2026.
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1In France, whose poll average has moved most in the last week of polling?
Philippe: down 1.2 points, now 14.3%. See the page
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2To the nearest point, what share of the vote did Republican win at the United States' 2024 election?
49.8%. See the page
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3At the United Kingdom's 2024 election, how far out was the average final poll, per party, to the nearest half point?
2.2 points per party, over 20 final polls. See the page
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4At which election since 2000 were France's final polls closest to the result?
2017: 0.7 points out per party on average. See the page
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5Who leads the polls in Poland?
KO on 33.2% in our average, ahead of PiS on 22.5%. See the page
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6How many seats does our forecast give AfD in the Bundestag in Germany?
197 in our projection, 119 short of a majority. See the page
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7To the nearest point, what share of the vote did Democrat win at the United States' 2012 election?
50.9%. See the page
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8How many seats does our forecast give PiS in the Sejm in Poland?
132 in our projection. See the page
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9Who leads the polls in Italy?
FdI on 27.7% in our average, ahead of PD on 20.3%. See the page
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10At which election since 2000 were Australia's final polls closest to the result?
2016: 0.3 points out per party on average. See the page
out of 10
Questions are written automatically from the figures on the site, so they change as new polls come in. Your answers and score stay in your browser.