How well do you know the polls in Poland?
Ten questions from today's figures: our poll averages, our forecast and how the polls did at past elections. Round 53 for 4 November 2026.
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1At which election since 2000 were Poland's final polls furthest out?
2005: 4.3 points out per party on average. See the page
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2In Poland, what chance does our forecast give for “Lewica clears 5%”?
78%, from thousands of simulated elections with the polls missing as they have before. See the page
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3Which party won the most votes at Poland's 2023 election?
PiS with 35.4%, ahead of KO on 30.7%. See the page
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4In Poland, whose poll average has moved most in the last week of polling?
PiS: up 0.8 points, now 22.5%. See the page
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5How many seats does our forecast give PiS in the Sejm in Poland?
132 in our projection. See the page
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6At Poland's 2023 election, which party did better than the final polls said, by the most?
TD: 10.7% in the final polls, 14.4% on the day. See the page
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7At Poland's 2023 election, how far out was the average final poll, per party, to the nearest half point?
1.9 points per party, over 12 final polls. See the page
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8At Poland's 2023 election, which party did the final polls overstate most?
PiS: 36.8% in the final polls, 35.4% on the day. See the page
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9Which party won the most votes at Poland's 2015 election?
PiS with 37.6%, ahead of KO on 31.7%. See the page
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10To the nearest point, what share of the vote did PiS win at Poland's 2015 election?
37.6%. See the page
out of 10
Questions are written automatically from the figures on the site, so they change as new polls come in. Your answers and score stay in your browser.