How well do you know the polls in the Netherlands?
Ten questions from today's figures: our poll averages, our forecast and how the polls did at past elections. Round 53 for 4 November 2026.
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1Who leads the polls in the Netherlands?
PRO on 18.8% in our average, ahead of PVV on 12.6%. See the page
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2How many seats does our forecast give PRO in the Tweede Kamer in the Netherlands?
28 in our projection, 48 short of a majority. See the page
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3At the Netherlands' 2025 election, which party did the final polls overstate most?
PRO: 15.4% in the final polls, 12.8% on the day. See the page
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4How many seats does our forecast give PVV in the Tweede Kamer in the Netherlands?
20 in our projection. See the page
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5Which party has gained most in the polls since the Netherlands' last election (29 October 2025)?
PRO: 12.8% then, 18.8% in our average now (+6.0 points). See the page
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6At which election since 2000 were the Netherlands' final polls furthest out?
2002: 2.4 points out per party on average. See the page
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7At which election since 2000 were the Netherlands' final polls closest to the result?
2006: 1.1 points out per party on average. See the page
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8Which party won the most votes at the Netherlands' 2021 election?
VVD with 21.9%, ahead of D66 on 15.0%. See the page
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9At the Netherlands' 2025 election, which party did better than the final polls said, by the most?
VVD: 12.0% in the final polls, 14.2% on the day. See the page
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10In the Netherlands, what chance does our forecast give for “PRO largest party”?
88%, from thousands of simulated elections with the polls missing as they have before. See the page
out of 10
Questions are written automatically from the figures on the site, so they change as new polls come in. Your answers and score stay in your browser.