How well do you know the polls?
Ten questions from today's figures: our poll averages, our forecast and how the polls did at past elections. Round 52 for 4 November 2026.
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1To the nearest point, what share of the vote did FI win at Italy's 2008 election?
37.4%. See the page
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2At which election since 2000 were Spain's final polls furthest out?
2004: 5.0 points out per party on average. See the page
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3At which election since 2000 were the United States' final polls closest to the result?
2004: 0.1 points out per party on average. See the page
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4To the nearest point, what share of the vote did VVD win at the Netherlands' 2017 election?
21.3%. See the page
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5At the United Kingdom's 2024 election, how far out was the average final poll, per party, to the nearest half point?
2.2 points per party, over 20 final polls. See the page
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6Which party won the most votes at Poland's 2019 election?
PiS with 43.6%, ahead of KO on 27.4%. See the page
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7At the United Kingdom's 2024 election, which party did better than the final polls said, by the most?
Con: 21.1% in the final polls, 24.4% on the day. See the page
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8Which party won the most votes at Australia's 2016 election?
Coalition with 42.0%, ahead of Labor on 34.7%. See the page
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9In the United States, what chance does our forecast give for “Democratic Senate control”?
83%, from thousands of simulated elections with the polls missing as they have before. See the page
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10Which party has gained most in the polls since the Netherlands' last election (29 October 2025)?
PRO: 12.8% then, 18.8% in our average now (+6.0 points). See the page
out of 10
Questions are written automatically from the figures on the site, so they change as new polls come in. Your answers and score stay in your browser.