How well do you know the polls in Canada?

1. 1Which party has gained most in the polls since Canada's last election (28 April 2025)?

   Liberal Conservative NDP PPC

2. 2At which election since 2000 were Canada's final polls furthest out?

   2004 2008 2019 2025

3. 3At Canada's 2025 election, how far out was the average final poll, per party, to the nearest half point?

   1.0 point 1.5 points 3.0 points 4.5 points

4. 4How many seats does our forecast give Conservative in the House of Commons in Canada?

   64 73 82 91

5. 5Which party won the most votes at Canada's 2021 election?

   NDP Conservative Bloc Liberal

6. 6Who leads the polls in Canada?

   NDP Liberal PPC Bloc

7. 7Which party won the most votes at Canada's 2015 election?

   Bloc NDP Conservative Liberal

8. 8To the nearest point, what share of the vote did Liberal win at Canada's 2015 election?

   35% 39% 43% 47%

9. 9To the nearest point, what share of the vote did Conservative win at Canada's 2019 election?

   26% 30% 34% 38%

10. 10In Canada, what chance does our forecast give for “NDP reaches 12 seats (party status)”?

    11% 36% 61% 76%

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