How well do you know the polls in Poland?
Ten questions from today's figures: our poll averages, our forecast and how the polls did at past elections. Round 52 for 4 November 2026.
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1At Poland's 2023 election, which party did better than the final polls said, by the most?
TD: 10.7% in the final polls, 14.4% on the day. See the page
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2Who leads the polls in Poland?
KO on 33.2% in our average, ahead of PiS on 22.5%. See the page
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3Which party won the most votes at Poland's 2019 election?
PiS with 43.6%, ahead of KO on 27.4%. See the page
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4At Poland's 2023 election, how far out was the average final poll, per party, to the nearest half point?
1.9 points per party, over 12 final polls. See the page
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5At which election since 2000 were Poland's final polls closest to the result?
2015: 0.5 points out per party on average. See the page
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6To the nearest point, what share of the vote did PiS win at Poland's 2019 election?
43.6%. See the page
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7Which party won the most votes at Poland's 2011 election?
KO with 39.2%, ahead of PiS on 29.9%. See the page
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8In Poland, what chance does our forecast give for “Government majority”?
7%, from thousands of simulated elections with the polls missing as they have before. See the page
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9At Poland's 2023 election, which party did the final polls overstate most?
PiS: 36.8% in the final polls, 35.4% on the day. See the page
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10In Poland, what chance does our forecast give for “Government majority in both chambers”?
7%, from thousands of simulated elections with the polls missing as they have before. See the page
out of 10
Questions are written automatically from the figures on the site, so they change as new polls come in. Your answers and score stay in your browser.