How well do you know the polls in the UK?
Ten questions from today's figures: our poll averages, our forecast and how the polls did at past elections. Round 94 for 4 November 2026.
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1At which election since 2000 were the United Kingdom's final polls closest to the result?
2019: 0.7 points out per party on average. See the page
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2At the United Kingdom's 2024 election, which party did better than the final polls said, by the most?
Con: 21.1% in the final polls, 24.4% on the day. See the page
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3Which party won the most votes at the United Kingdom's 2019 election?
Con with 44.7%, ahead of Lab on 32.9%. See the page
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4In the United Kingdom, what chance does our forecast give for “Majority for any one party”?
47%, from thousands of simulated elections with the polls missing as they have before. See the page
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5To the nearest point, what share of the vote did Con win at the United Kingdom's 2015 election?
37.7%. See the page
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6How many seats does our forecast give Conservative in the House of Commons in the United Kingdom?
152 in our projection. See the page
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7At which election since 2000 were the United Kingdom's final polls furthest out?
2010: 2.9 points out per party on average. See the page
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8How many seats does our forecast give Labour in the House of Commons in the United Kingdom?
327 in our projection, a majority (326 needed). See the page
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9Who leads the polls in the United Kingdom?
Labour on 29.0% in our average, ahead of Conservative on 21.9%. See the page
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10To the nearest point, what share of the vote did Con win at the United Kingdom's 2019 election?
44.7%. See the page
out of 10
Questions are written automatically from the figures on the site, so they change as new polls come in. Your answers and score stay in your browser.