How well do you know the polls in Poland?
Ten questions from today's figures: our poll averages, our forecast and how the polls did at past elections. Round 94 for 4 November 2026.
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1In Poland, what chance does our forecast give for “Government majority”?
7%, from thousands of simulated elections with the polls missing as they have before. See the page
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2In Poland, what chance does our forecast give for “Government majority in both chambers”?
7%, from thousands of simulated elections with the polls missing as they have before. See the page
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3At Poland's 2023 election, which party did the final polls overstate most?
PiS: 36.8% in the final polls, 35.4% on the day. See the page
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4Which party won the most votes at Poland's 2019 election?
PiS with 43.6%, ahead of KO on 27.4%. See the page
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5To the nearest point, what share of the vote did PiS win at Poland's 2019 election?
43.6%. See the page
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6Which party won the most votes at Poland's 2011 election?
KO with 39.2%, ahead of PiS on 29.9%. See the page
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7At Poland's 2023 election, how far out was the average final poll, per party, to the nearest half point?
1.9 points per party, over 12 final polls. See the page
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8How many seats does our forecast give KO in the Sejm in Poland?
191 in our projection, 40 short of a majority. See the page
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9At Poland's 2023 election, which party did better than the final polls said, by the most?
TD: 10.7% in the final polls, 14.4% on the day. See the page
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10To the nearest point, what share of the vote did KO win at Poland's 2011 election?
39.2%. See the page
out of 10
Questions are written automatically from the figures on the site, so they change as new polls come in. Your answers and score stay in your browser.