How well do you know the polls in the UK?

1. 1To the nearest point, what share of the vote did Con win at the United Kingdom's 2015 election?

   30% 34% 38% 46%

2. 2At which election since 2000 were the United Kingdom's final polls closest to the result?

   2001 2015 2019 2010

3. 3In the United Kingdom, what chance does our forecast give for “Hung parliament”?

   13% 28% 53% 93%

4. 4How many seats does our forecast give Conservative in the House of Commons in the United Kingdom?

   116 152 170 188

5. 5Which party won the most votes at the United Kingdom's 2015 election?

   Con Reform Lib Dem Lab

6. 6Who leads the polls in the United Kingdom?

   Reform UK Conservative Labour Lib Dem

7. 7To the nearest point, what share of the vote did Lab win at the United Kingdom's 2024 election?

   27% 35% 39% 43%

8. 8At the United Kingdom's 2024 election, which party did the final polls overstate most?

   Con Reform Lib Dem Lab

9. 9To the nearest point, what share of the vote did Con win at the United Kingdom's 2019 election?

   41% 45% 49% 53%

10. 10Which party won the most votes at the United Kingdom's 2019 election?

    Green Con Lab Lib Dem

Questions are written automatically from the figures on the site, so they change as new polls come in. Your answers and score stay in your browser.