How well do you know the polls?
Ten questions from today's figures: our poll averages, our forecast and how the polls did at past elections. Round 90 for 4 November 2026.
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1To the nearest point, what share of the vote did VVD win at the Netherlands' 2021 election?
21.9%. See the page
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2How many seats does our forecast give PRO in the Tweede Kamer in the Netherlands?
28 in our projection, 48 short of a majority. See the page
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3Which country's final polls have missed by most since 2000?
Italy: 2.6 points out per party on average over 6 elections. See the page
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4Who leads the polls in Poland?
KO on 33.2% in our average, ahead of PiS on 22.5%. See the page
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5Which party won the most votes at Australia's 2019 election?
Coalition with 41.4%, ahead of Labor on 33.3%. See the page
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6At the United Kingdom's 2024 election, which party did better than the final polls said, by the most?
Con: 21.1% in the final polls, 24.4% on the day. See the page
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7To the nearest point, what share of the vote did Con win at the United Kingdom's 2017 election?
43.4%. See the page
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8Which party won the most votes at France's 2012 election?
PS with 28.6%, ahead of LR on 27.2%. See the page
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9At Germany's 2025 election, which party did better than the final polls said, by the most?
SPD: 15.2% in the final polls, 16.4% on the day. See the page
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10Who leads the polls in Canada?
Liberal on 46.2% in our average, ahead of Conservative on 30.7%. See the page
out of 10
Questions are written automatically from the figures on the site, so they change as new polls come in. Your answers and score stay in your browser.