How well do you know the polls in the UK?

1. 1In the United Kingdom, what chance does our forecast give for “Labour largest”?

   55% 70% 80% 95%

2. 2At the United Kingdom's 2024 election, how far out was the average final poll, per party, to the nearest half point?

   1.0 point 2.0 points 4.0 points 6.0 points

3. 3In the United Kingdom, what chance does our forecast give for “Labour largest party”?

   55% 70% 80% 95%

4. 4To the nearest point, what share of the vote did Con win at the United Kingdom's 2015 election?

   30% 38% 42% 46%

5. 5To the nearest point, what share of the vote did Lab win at the United Kingdom's 2024 election?

   27% 31% 35% 39%

6. 6Which party won the most votes at the United Kingdom's 2019 election?

   Green Lab Con Lib Dem

7. 7Who leads the polls in the United Kingdom?

   Lib Dem Labour Reform UK Conservative

8. 8At the United Kingdom's 2024 election, which party did better than the final polls said, by the most?

   Lab Lib Dem Con Reform

9. 9How many seats does our forecast give Conservative in the House of Commons in the United Kingdom?

   116 152 170 188

10. 10Which party won the most votes at the United Kingdom's 2024 election?

    Reform Lab Lib Dem Con

Questions are written automatically from the figures on the site, so they change as new polls come in. Your answers and score stay in your browser.